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Quantifying opportunities and threats: examining the Canada–EU trade negotiations

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  • George Philippidis
  • Elisavet Kitou

Abstract

This study examines the impacts of a Canadian–EU preferential trade agreement. A carefully designed contemporary baseline scenario and additional HS6 tariff offer data are incorporated to establish the degree of ambition of the negotiations whilst assessing the sectoral trade opportunities and threats facing both partners. Initial tariff offer real income gains are estimated at 76% of full liberalisation in both regions, rising to 91% (Canada) and 84% (EU) under the second tariff offer. Given higher levels of applied tariff protection, potentially significant impacts are measured in dairy, meat and wheat sectors. Trade diversion losses on third countries are negligible.

Suggested Citation

  • George Philippidis & Elisavet Kitou, 2012. "Quantifying opportunities and threats: examining the Canada–EU trade negotiations," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 301-320.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jecprf:v:15:y:2012:i:4:p:301-320
    DOI: 10.1080/17487870.2012.717001
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    Cited by:

    1. Philippidis, G. & Resano, H. & Sanjuán, A.I., 2014. "Shifting Armington trade preferences: A re-examination of the Mercosur–EU negotiations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 21-32.
    2. Yaghoob Jafari & Mihaly Himics & Wolfgang Britz & Jayson Beckman, 2021. "It is all in the details: A bilateral approach for modelling trade agreements at the tariff line," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(3), pages 415-442, September.

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