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Consistency of Risk Preference Measures: An Artefactual Field Experiment from Rural China

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  • Pan He
  • Marcella Veronesi
  • Stefanie Engel

Abstract

A variety of measures have been developed to elicit individual risk preferences. How these measures perform in the field, in particular in developing countries with non-student subjects, is still an open question. We implement an artefactual field experiment in rural China to investigate (i) consistency across incentivised experimental risk measures, (ii) consistency in risk preferences elicitation between non-incentivised survey measures and incentivised experiments, and (iii) possible explanations for risk preference inconsistency across measures. We find that inconsistent risk preferences across survey and experimental measures may be explained by ambiguity preferences. In the survey, subjects may mix risk and ambiguity preferences.

Suggested Citation

  • Pan He & Marcella Veronesi & Stefanie Engel, 2018. "Consistency of Risk Preference Measures: An Artefactual Field Experiment from Rural China," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(11), pages 1955-1973, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:54:y:2018:i:11:p:1955-1973
    DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2017.1336542
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    Cited by:

    1. Bruns, Selina & Hermann, Daniel & Mußhoff, Oliver, 2022. "Investigating inconsistencies in complex lotteries: The role of cognitive skills of low-numeracy subjects," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Pace, Noemi & Daidone, Silvio, 2024. "Impact of development interventions on individual risk preferences: Evidence from a field-lab experiment and survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    3. Gary Charness & Thomas Garcia & Theo Offerman & Marie Claire Villeval, 2020. "Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 99-123, April.
    4. Naranjo, Maria A. & Alpízar, Francisco & Martinsson, Peter, 2019. "Alternatives for Risk Elicitation in the Field: Evidence from Coffee Farmers in Costa Rica," EfD Discussion Paper 19-21, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
    5. Sun, Yuzhe & Wang, Yanjie & Zhang, Shunming & Huang, Helen, 2023. "The impact of ambiguity-loving attitude on market participation and asset pricing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Bruns, Selina JK & Hermann, Daniel & Musshoff, Oliver, 2022. "Is gamification a curse or blessing for the design of risk elicitation methods in the field? Experimental evidence from Cambodian smallholder farmers," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322263, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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