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Economic Crisis, Income Gaps, Uncertainty, and Inter-regional Migration Responses: Kazakhstan 2000–2014

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  • Galina An
  • Charles M. Becker
  • Enoch Cheng

Abstract

There is ample empirical evidence that internal migration occurs in response to wage differentials; recently, evidence has emerged that international migration is deterred by rising destination uncertainty. However, to our knowledge, there has been no analysis of how internal migration responds to differing incentives during good times and bad. This paper provides insight into this issue using detailed regional economic and migration data for Kazakhstan during boom (2000–2007) and crisis (2008–2014) periods. While conventional forces are affirmed, we find that the crisis deters migration and weakens the effect of wage differentials – while also reducing the deterrent effect of relative uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Galina An & Charles M. Becker & Enoch Cheng, 2017. "Economic Crisis, Income Gaps, Uncertainty, and Inter-regional Migration Responses: Kazakhstan 2000–2014," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(9), pages 1452-1470, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:53:y:2017:i:9:p:1452-1470
    DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2016.1257118
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Dufhues & Gertrud Buchenrieder & Zhanli Sun, 2021. "Exploring Policy Options in Regulating Rural–Urban Migration with a Bayesian Network: A Case Study in Kazakhstan," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(3), pages 553-577, June.
    2. Raushan Aman & Petri Ahokangas & Xiaotian Zhang, 2021. "Migrant women entrepreneurs and entrepreneurial ecosystems during an external shock: a case study from the healthcare sector in Kazakhstan," Asian Business & Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 518-548, September.
    3. Victor Agadjanian & Evgenia Gorina, 2019. "Economic Swings, Political Instability and Migration in Kyrgyzstan," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(2), pages 285-304, May.
    4. Thomas Dufhues & Gertrud Buchenrieder & Zhanli Sun, 0. "Exploring Policy Options in Regulating Rural–Urban Migration with a Bayesian Network: A Case Study in Kazakhstan," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 0, pages 1-25.
    5. Kalyuzhnova, Yelena & Belitski, Maksim, 2019. "The impact of corruption and local content policy in on firm performance: Evidence from Kazakhstan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 67-76.

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