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Drilling Deeper: A Systematic, Context-Sensitive Investigation of Causal Mechanisms in the Oil-Conflict Link

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  • Matthias Basedau
  • Annegret M�hler
  • Miriam Shabafrouz

Abstract

This article employs an innovative methodology to study causal mechanisms in the oil-conflict link by combining a systematic approach with taking into account country details. Engaging in a deductive test of causal mechanisms in a controlled comparison of four major oil exporters, results show that no oil-related causal mechanism can fully explain the differences in violence. A more inductive analysis complemented by process tracing suggests a more comprehensive mechanism: oil contributes to the formation of opposition through grievances. Levels of violence, however, vary largely according to non-oil conditions - particularly the cohesiveness of opposition and the reaction of government to challengers.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthias Basedau & Annegret M�hler & Miriam Shabafrouz, 2014. "Drilling Deeper: A Systematic, Context-Sensitive Investigation of Causal Mechanisms in the Oil-Conflict Link," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 51-63, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:50:y:2014:i:1:p:51-63
    DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2013.849338
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    1. Shabafrouz, Miriam, 2010. "Oil and the Eruption of the Algerian Civil War: A Context-sensitive Analysis of the Ambivalent Impact of Resource Abundance," GIGA Working Papers 118, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vita Roy, 2018. "Managing Resource-related Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(5), pages 1044-1071, May.

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