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Error analysis of stochastic flight trajectory prediction models

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  • Vasileios Maroulas

Abstract

This paper focuses on the analysis of errors between a flight trajectory prediction model and flight data. A novel stochastic prediction flight model is compared with the popular fly-by and fly-over turn models. The propagated error is measured using either spatial coordinates or angles. Depending on the case, the distribution of error is estimated and confidence bounds for the linear and directional mean are provided for all three stochastic flight models.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasileios Maroulas, 2012. "Error analysis of stochastic flight trajectory prediction models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(8), pages 1825-1841, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:39:y:2012:i:8:p:1825-1841
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2012.683171
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    1. Xiong, Jie, 2008. "An Introduction to Stochastic Filtering Theory," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199219704.
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