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Patterns of NBA team performance from 1950 to 1998

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  • Mustafa Yilmaz
  • Sangit Chatterjee

Abstract

This paper examines team performance in the NBA over the last five decades. It was motivated by two previous observational studies, one of which studied the winning percentages of professional baseball teams over time, while the other examined individual player performance in the NBA. These studies considered professional sports as evolving systems, a view proposed by evolutionary biologist Stephen Jay Gould, who wrote extensively on the disappearance of .400 hitters in baseball. Gould argued that the disappearance is actually a sign of improvement in the quality of play, reflected in the reduction of variability in hitting performance. The previous studies reached similar conclusions in terms of winning percentages of baseball teams, and performance of individual players in basketball. This paper uses multivariate measures of team performance in the NBA to see if similar characteristics of evolution can be observed. The conclusion does not appear to be clearly affirmative, as in previous studies, and possible reasons for this are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Yilmaz & Sangit Chatterjee, 2000. "Patterns of NBA team performance from 1950 to 1998," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(5), pages 555-566.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:27:y:2000:i:5:p:555-566
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760050076399
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    Cited by:

    1. Martín-González, Juan Manuel & de Saá Guerra, Yves & García-Manso, Juan Manuel & Arriaza, Enrique & Valverde-Estévez, Teresa, 2016. "The Poisson model limits in NBA basketball: Complexity in team sports," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 464(C), pages 182-190.
    2. Benno Torgler, 2004. "?La Grande Boucle?: Determinants of Success at the Tour de France," CREMA Working Paper Series 2004-22, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA), revised May 2005.

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