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The bilateral J-curve: Canada versus her 20 trading partners

Author

Listed:
  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Gour Goswami
  • Bidyut Kumar Talukdar

Abstract

There is a common belief that currency depreciation worsens the trade balance in the short run and improves it in the long run resulting in the so called J-curve phenomenon. Early studies employed aggregate data and provided mixed results. Recent studies, however, have employed disaggregated data to remove any aggregation bias from their analysis. In this article we consider the Canadian experience and test the phenomenon between Canada and her 20 major trading partners. Using quarterly data and the bounds testing approach to cointegration, and error-correction modelling we were able to provide support for the J-curve in 11 out of 20 cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Gour Goswami & Bidyut Kumar Talukdar, 2008. "The bilateral J-curve: Canada versus her 20 trading partners," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 93-104.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:22:y:2008:i:1:p:93-104
    DOI: 10.1080/02692170701745952
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Bolhassani, Marzieh & Hegerty, Scott W., 2010. "The effects of currency fluctuations and trade integration on industry trade between Canada and Mexico," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(4), pages 212-223, December.
    2. Phouphet Kyophilavong & Muhammad Shahbaz & Ijaz Ur Rehman & Somchith Souksavath & Sengchanh Chanthasene, 2018. "Investigating the Relationship between Trade Balance and the Exchange Rate: The Case of Laos’ Trade with Thailand," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(3), pages 590-603, June.
    3. Martin Gürtler, 2019. "Dynamic analysis of trade balance behavior in a small open economy: the J-curve phenomenon and the Czech economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 469-497, February.
    4. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Marzieh Bolhasani, 2008. "The J-Curve: Evidence from commodity trade between Canada and the U.S," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 32(3), pages 207-225, July.
    5. Yaya Keho, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Dynamics in Cote d Ivoire," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 61-70.
    6. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2020. "Is There a J-Curve Effect in the Services Trade in Canada? A Panel Data Analysis," MPRA Paper 106704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hadiseh Fariditavana, 2020. "Asymmetric cointegration and the J-curve: new evidence from commodity trade between the U.S. and Canada," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 427-482, May.
    8. Mohammad Naim Azimi & Mohammad Musa Shafiq, 2022. "The J-curve phenomenon in Afghanistan and its major trading partners: evidence from a non-linear ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-28, July.

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