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Money Demand and Seasonal Cointegration

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  • Shen Chung-Hua
  • Huang Tai-Hsin

Abstract

This paper employs a seasonal error correction modes (SECM) to examine the Stability of Taiwan' narrow and broad money demand functions. With the exception of the short term interest rate, these two monetary aggregates and their determinants are found to have strong seasonal unit roots at various frequencies. The demand functions for both narrow and broad money are cointegrated with real GNP and export at the annual frequency, whereas the demand for broad money is cointegrated with real GNP at the biannual frequency. Furthermore, both money aggregates are cointegrated with real GNP, exports and he interest rate at the zero frequency. A SECM is then constructed for the respective narrow and broad money demand Functions, of which the latter is found to be stable. [C30, C32, E41]

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  • Shen Chung-Hua & Huang Tai-Hsin, 1999. "Money Demand and Seasonal Cointegration," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 97-123.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:13:y:1999:i:3:p:97-123
    DOI: 10.1080/10168739900000008
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    Cited by:

    1. Ozlem Goktas & Aycan Hepsag, 2011. "Do stock returns lead real economic activity? Evidence from seasonal cointegration analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2117-2127.
    2. Bahmani-Oskooee Mohsen & Shin Sungwon, 2002. "Stability of the Demand for Money in Korea," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 85-95.
    3. Huang, Tai-Hsin & Shen, Chung-Hua, 2002. "Seasonal cointegration and cross-equation restrictions on a forward-looking buffer stock model of money demand," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 11-46, November.
    4. Ozlem Tasseven, 2009. "Seasonal Co-integration An Extension of the Johansen and Schaumburg Approach with an Exclusion Test," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(1), pages 39-53, March.

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