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Do Energy Prices Affect U.S. Investor Sentiment?

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  • Nicholas Apergis
  • Arusha Cooray
  • Mobeen Ur Rehman

Abstract

The current literature has examined the effect of investor sentiment on energy prices, but no study ever has explored the validity of the reverse question. Therefore, this article explore whether energy prices (i.e., crude oil and natural gas prices) affect U.S. investor sentiment, using the methodology of quantile regression. The empirical results document that controlling for a number of U.S. macroeconomic and financial factors, there exists a statistically significant association between oil and natural gas prices and investor sentiment. However, only natural gas prices appear to retain their statistical significance over the majority of quantiles. These findings received robust support under alternative measures of the investor sentiment index.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas Apergis & Arusha Cooray & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2018. "Do Energy Prices Affect U.S. Investor Sentiment?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 125-140, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:hbhfxx:v:19:y:2018:i:2:p:125-140
    DOI: 10.1080/15427560.2017.1373354
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Selçuk Akçay, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Oil Prices in the United States - Evidence From a Time-Varying Causality Test," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-7.
    2. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Siphumlile Mangisa & Sonali Das & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Analyzing The Impact Of Brexit On Global Uncertainty Using Functional Linear Regression With Point Of Impact: The Role Of Currency And Equity Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 67(04), pages 1377-1388, June.
    4. Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "The impact of Twitter-based sentiment on US sectoral returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Ting Yao & Yue‐Jun Zhang, 2024. "The impact of air pollution on crude oil futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 1055-1068, June.
    6. Wang, Shaoping & Feng, Hao & Gao, Da, 2023. "Testing for short explosive bubbles: A case of Brent oil futures price," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    8. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Sensitivity of US equity returns to economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Sensitivity of US sectoral returns to energy commodities under different investment horizons and market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    10. Alomari, Mohammad & Al Rababa’a, Abdel Razzaq & El-Nader, Ghaith & Alkhataybeh, Ahmad & Ur Rehman, Mobeen, 2021. "Examining the effects of news and media sentiments on volatility and correlation: Evidence from the UK," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 280-297.
    11. Gregory, Richard Paul, 2021. "What determines Manager and Investor Sentiment?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

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