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Evaluating the impact of repeated leadership targeting on militant group durability

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  • Yasutaka Tominaga

Abstract

The effects of repeated leadership targeting on militant organizations have been little discussed and quantitatively assessed. This research undertakes to assess the policy’s effectiveness by account for targeting policies’ repeated nature. Analysis of 207 militant organizations between 1970 and 2008 finds that repeated targeting can hasten a group’s demise, but quadratically. While initial targeting interventions actually increase a group’s resilience, a series of successive attacks significantly reduces their survivability. This effect is particularly significant for young organizations. The findings suggest that for targeting to be effective, patience and repeated interventions are required; it is erroneous to conclude its effectiveness based on a single intervention result.

Suggested Citation

  • Yasutaka Tominaga, 2019. "Evaluating the impact of repeated leadership targeting on militant group durability," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 865-892, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:45:y:2019:i:5:p:865-892
    DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2019.1647836
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    Cited by:

    1. Yasutaka Tominaga, 2021. "Organizational context matters: explaining different responses to militant leadership targeting," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(3), pages 270-291, May.

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