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The Influence of Aid Changes on African Election Outcomes

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  • Ryan C. Briggs

Abstract

Many African democracies experience highly variable aid flows. This article examines the influence of aid changes on presidential incumbent advantage in Africa. Aid changes influence the odds of incumbents winning reelection, with aid increases helping incumbents, but this effect is only present when the aid change occurs in the year before an election. Aid changes in earlier or later time periods have no influence. Case studies of elections in Ghana and Malawi reveal causal mechanisms linking aid changes to incumbent advantage and support the finding that aid changes have a limited window of influence.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryan C. Briggs, 2015. "The Influence of Aid Changes on African Election Outcomes," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 201-225, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:41:y:2015:i:2:p:201-225
    DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2014.948155
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Owen Barder, 2009. "Beyond Planning: Markets and Networks for Better Aid," Working Papers 185, Center for Global Development.
    2. Easterly, William, 2007. "The White Man's Burden: Why the West's Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill And So Little Good," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199226115.
    3. Nancy Birdsall, 2004. "Seven Deadly Sins: Reflections on Donor Failings," Working Papers 50, Center for Global Development.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gatien Bon & Gong Cheng, 2020. "China’s overseas Sovereign debt relief actions: What insights do recent cases provide?," Working Papers hal-04159690, HAL.
    2. Knutsen, Tora & Kotsadam, Andreas, 2020. "The political economy of aid allocation: Aid and incumbency at the local level in Sub Saharan Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    3. Jin Mun Jeong, 2020. "Economic sanctions and income inequality: impacts of trade restrictions and foreign aid suspension on target countries," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 37(6), pages 674-693, November.

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