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General Deterrence and International Conflict: Testing Perfect Deterrence Theory

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  • Stephen L. Quackenbush

Abstract

Since general deterrence necessarily precedes immediate deterrence, the analysis of general deterrence is more fundamental to an understanding of international conflict than is an analysis of immediate deterrence. Nonetheless, despite a few exceptions, the quantitative literature has ignored the subject of general deterrence, focusing almost exclusively on situations of immediate deterrence. My purpose in this essay is to fill this evidentiary gap by subjecting a recently developed theory of general deterrence—Perfect Deterrence Theory—to a systematic test by examining general deterrence from 1816--2000. The results indicate that the predictions of perfect deterrence theory are strongly supported by the empirical record.

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  • Stephen L. Quackenbush, 2010. "General Deterrence and International Conflict: Testing Perfect Deterrence Theory," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 60-85, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:36:y:2010:i:1:p:60-85
    DOI: 10.1080/03050620903554069
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    Cited by:

    1. Karl Sörenson, 2023. "A Misfit model: irrational deterrence and bounded rationality," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 94(4), pages 575-591, May.
    2. Atahan Demirkol, 2022. "Why Is There No Third World War Yet?," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 20(3), pages 277-290.
    3. Radoslav Ivancik, 2022. "Strengthening European Security And Defence: A Truly Demanding Task For The European Union," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 20(3), pages 183-205.
    4. Siyang Liu, 2022. "“17+1 Cooperation” In Central And Eastern Europe: Analysis Of European And American Factors And Trends," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 20(3), pages 250-276.
    5. Patrik Svab, 2022. "Stylized Facts Of Economic Crises: The Example Of Chile," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 20(3), pages 228-249.
    6. Zuzana Rozkosova, 2022. "Problematic Definition Of Terrorism And Associated Human Rights Violations In The Context Of The Fight Against Terrorism On The Example Of The Russian Federation," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 20(3), pages 206-227.

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