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Investigating the Preventive Motive for War

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  • Douglas Lemke

Abstract

The preventive motive for war is a prominent part of many world politics arguments. However, there are no general statistical investigations of either its prevalence or bellicosity. Consequently, no general conclusions about it can be drawn. In this article I operationally define the preventive motive, determine how often it is observed when wars are fought, and estimate its statistical impact on the probability of war. I find the preventive motive is frequently present in both types of dyads, but has no consistent statistical impact on the probability of war.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Lemke, 2003. "Investigating the Preventive Motive for War," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 273-292, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:29:y:2003:i:4:p:273-292
    DOI: 10.1080/714950650
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Schub, 2017. "Unfair fights: Power asymmetry, nascent nuclear capability, and preventive conflict," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(4), pages 431-455, July.
    2. Xiang Jun & Primiano Christopher B. & Huang Wei-hao, 2015. "Aggressive or Peaceful Rise? An Empirical Assessment of China’s Militarized Conflict, 1979–2010," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 301-325, August.
    3. Sukhee Han, 2009. "China's Pursuit of Peaceful Power Transition," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 12(3), pages 27-42, December.
    4. John Tyson Chatagnier, 2015. "Conflict bargaining as a signal to third parties," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 27(2), pages 237-268, April.

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