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The effects of oil price shocks on the prices of EU emission trading system and European stock returns

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  • Styliani-Iris Krokida
  • Neophytos Lambertides
  • Christos S. Savva
  • Dimitris A. Tsouknidis

Abstract

This paper examines whether oil price shocks of different origin affect the price of carbon emission allowance traded under the European Union's Emissions Trading System; leading to changes in aggregate and sector-specific European equity returns. The results show that an unexpected oil-supply disruption has an imminent but weak positive effect on carbon emission price, while a positive aggregate demand shock has a strong positive effect on carbon emission price. By contrast, a positive oil-specific (precautionary) demand shock has a negative but weak effect on carbon emission price. These findings are economically important as positive shocks on the ${\rm CO}_{2} $CO2 emission allowance price trigger a decrease on the aggregate stock return of the European equity market, albeit they trigger a large and persistent increase on European equity returns of oil-related industries with the exception of the Energy sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Styliani-Iris Krokida & Neophytos Lambertides & Christos S. Savva & Dimitris A. Tsouknidis, 2020. "The effects of oil price shocks on the prices of EU emission trading system and European stock returns," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 1-13, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:26:y:2020:i:1:p:1-13
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2019.1637358
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
    2. Syed Mujahid Hussain & Amjad Naveed & Sheraz Ahmed & Nisar Ahmad, 2022. "Disaggregating the impact of oil prices on European industrial equity indices: a spatial econometric analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2673-2692, June.
    3. Zheng, Yan & Yin, Hua & Zhou, Min & Liu, Wenhua & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "Impacts of oil shocks on the EU carbon emissions allowances under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Joao Leitao & Joaquim Ferreira & Ernesto Santibanez‐Gonzalez, 2021. "Green bonds, sustainable development and environmental policy in the European Union carbon market," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 2077-2090, May.
    5. Neophytos Lambertides & Dimitris Tsouknidis, 2024. "Climate regulation costs and firms’ distress risk," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(1), pages 3-30, February.
    6. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Mengli Xia & Zhang-Hangjian Chen & Piao Wang, 2022. "Dynamic Risk Spillover Effect between the Carbon and Stock Markets under the Shocks from Exogenous Events," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, December.
    8. Tao, Miaomiao & Poletti, Stephen & Sheng, Mingyue Selena & Wen, Le, 2024. "Nexus between carbon, stock, and energy markets in New Zealand: An analysis of causal domains," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    9. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Qunwei, 2024. "Forecasting carbon prices under diversified attention: A dynamic model averaging approach with common factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Zheng, Yan & Zhou, Min & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of oil shocks on carbon allowance price: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

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