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The pricing of sentiment risk in European stock markets

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  • Karl Ludwig Keiber
  • Helene Samyschew

Abstract

This paper studies whether sentiment is rewarded with a significant risk premium in the European stock markets. We examine several sentiment proxies and identify the Economic Sentiment Indicator from the EU Commission as the most relevant sentiment proxy for our sample. The analysis is performed for the contemporaneous excess returns of EA-11 stock markets in the period from February 1999 to September 2015. We apply a conditional multi-beta pricing model in order to track the variation of the sentiment risk premium over time. The results demonstrate a positive significant relationship between sentiment and contemporaneous excess returns which is consistent with previous studies. The calculated sentiment risk premium is significant as well but negative implying that an investment in EA-11 countries over the examined time period – that is bearing sentiment risk – would have been unattractive to the investors on average.

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  • Karl Ludwig Keiber & Helene Samyschew, 2019. "The pricing of sentiment risk in European stock markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 279-302, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:25:y:2019:i:3:p:279-302
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2018.1521340
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    Cited by:

    1. Zrinka Lukac & Mirjana Cizmesija, 2021. "(Re)Constructing the European Economic Sentiment Indicator: An Optimization Approach," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 155(3), pages 939-958, June.
    2. Jian Wang & Yanhuang Huang & Hongrui Feng & Jun Yang, 2023. "The effect of customer concentration on stock sentiment risk," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 565-606, February.
    3. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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