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Expected shortfall assessment in commodity (L)ETF portfolios with semi-nonparametric specifications

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  • Esther B. Del Brio
  • Andrés Mora-Valencia
  • Javier Perote

Abstract

This paper studies the risk assessment of semi-nonparametric (SNP) distributions for leveraged exchange trade funds, (L)ETFs. We applied the SNP model with dynamic conditional correlations (DCC) and EGARCH innovations, and implement recent techniques to backtest Expected Shortfall (ES) to portfolios formed by bivariate combinations of major (L)ETFs on metal (Gold and Silver) and energy (Oil and Gas) commodities. Results support that multivariate SNP-DCC model outperforms the Gaussian-DCC and provides accurate risk measures for commodity (L)ETFs.

Suggested Citation

  • Esther B. Del Brio & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Javier Perote, 2019. "Expected shortfall assessment in commodity (L)ETF portfolios with semi-nonparametric specifications," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(17), pages 1746-1764, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:25:y:2019:i:17:p:1746-1764
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2018.1559213
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ignacio Mauleón, 2022. "Contributions to Risk Assessment with Edgeworth–Sargan Density Expansions (I): Stability Testing," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Daniel Velásquez-Gaviria & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Javier Perote, 2020. "A Comparison of the Risk Quantification in Traditional and Renewable Energy Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-42, June.
    3. Enrique Molina‐Muñoz & Andrés Mora‐Valencia & Javier Perote, 2021. "Backtesting expected shortfall for world stock index ETFs with extreme value theory and Gram–Charlier mixtures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4163-4189, July.
    4. Trespalacios, Alfredo & Cortés, Lina M. & Perote, Javier, 2020. "Uncertainty in electricity markets from a semi-nonparametric approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Inés Jiménez & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Javier Perote, 2022. "Dynamic selection of Gram–Charlier expansions with risk targets: an application to cryptocurrencies," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 81-99, March.
    6. Inés Jiménez & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez & Javier Perote, 2020. "Portfolio Risk Assessment under Dynamic (Equi)Correlation and Semi-Nonparametric Estimation: An Application to Cryptocurrencies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-24, November.
    7. Jiménez, Inés & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2023. "Multivariate dynamics between emerging markets and digital asset markets: An application of the SNP-DCC model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

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