IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/eurjfi/v25y2019i14p1309-1327.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Contagion from the crises in the Euro-zone: where, when and why?

Author

Listed:
  • Eric J. Pentecost
  • Wenti Du
  • Graham Bird
  • Thomas Willett

Abstract

The prevalence of contagion between the Euro-zone countries and other European countries since the Greek crisis of 2009 is now well – known, but the factors that influence the pattern of this contagion are not well understood. We investigate this question both within Europe and beyond to the USA and Japan, using an asymmetric M-GARCH model that focuses on extreme values of the risk premia on government bonds. We compare these extreme values with news of major events and find that they are highly correlated. We find a different pattern of contagion emanating from Ireland compared to the other crisis countries of Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain. We also examine the factors that have made countries vulnerable to contagion and find that financial factors are more important than trade ones. However, intra-Euro-zone trade has also been a significant factor between the major Euro-zone economies. There is little evidence that global factors affect contagion between EU member states, but some evidence that nominal exchange rate movements offer a degree of insulation from contagion for the non-Euro zone states.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric J. Pentecost & Wenti Du & Graham Bird & Thomas Willett, 2019. "Contagion from the crises in the Euro-zone: where, when and why?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(14), pages 1309-1327, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:25:y:2019:i:14:p:1309-1327
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2019.1589552
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1351847X.2019.1589552
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/1351847X.2019.1589552?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. T. Flavin & M.Dongey & L. Sheenan, 2020. "Banks and Sovereigns: Did adversity bring them closer?," Economics Department Working Paper Series n307-20.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    2. Oussama Kchaou & Makram Bellalah & Sofiane Tahi, 2022. "Transmission of the Greek crisis on the sovereign debt markets in the euro area," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1117-1139, June.
    3. Chuluunbayar, Delgerjargal, 2019. "Crises in Some Emerging Economy and Its Contagion Effect," MPRA Paper 98810, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:25:y:2019:i:14:p:1309-1327. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/REJF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.