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Safehavenness of currencies

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  • Alfred Y.-T. Wong
  • Tom Pak Wing Fong

Abstract

This study assesses the ‘safehavenness’ of a number of currencies with a view to providing a better understanding of how capital flow tends to react to a sharp increase in global risk aversion in turbulent times. It focuses on how the currencies are perceived by international investors or, more specifically, whether they are seen as safe-haven or risky currencies. To assess the safehavenness of the currency, we use risk reversal, which is the price difference between the call and put options of a currency, as it reflects how disproportionately market participants are willing to pay to hedge against its appreciation or depreciation. The relationship between the risk reversal of the currency and global risk aversion is estimated by means of parametric and non-parametric regressions that allow us to capture currency behaviour in times of extreme adversity, that is, the tail risk. Our empirical results found the Japanese yen and, to a lesser extent, the Hong Kong dollar to be the only safe havens under stressful conditions among the 34 currencies vis-à-vis the US dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfred Y.-T. Wong & Tom Pak Wing Fong, 2018. "Safehavenness of currencies," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 300-332, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:24:y:2018:i:4:p:300-332
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2016.1239584
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    Cited by:

    1. Qi, Qi & Long, Chao & Wu, Jianzhong & Yu, James, 2018. "Impacts of a medium voltage direct current link on the performance of electrical distribution networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 175-188.
    2. Goldberg, Linda S. & Krogstrup, Signe, 2023. "International capital flow pressures and global factors," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Ho, Edmund Ho Cheung, 2022. "Foreign participation in local currency government bond markets in emerging Asia: Benefits and pitfalls to market stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Tom Pak Wing Fong & Alfred Yun Tong Wong, 2020. "Safehavenness of the Chinese renminbi," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(2), pages 215-233, August.
    5. Julio Pindado & Ignacio Requejo & Juan C. Rivera, 2020. "Does money supply shape corporate capital structure? International evidence from a panel data analysis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 554-584, April.

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