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European asset swap spreads and the credit crisis

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  • Wolfgang Aussenegg
  • Lukas Götz
  • Ranko Jelic

Abstract

We examine time-varying behaviour and determinants of asset swap (ASW) spreads for 23 iBoxx European corporate bond indexes from January 2006 to January 2009. The results of a Markov switching model suggest that ASW spreads exhibit regime-dependent behaviour. The evidence is particularly strong for Financial and Corporates Subordinated indexes. Stock market volatility determines ASW spread changes in turbulent periods, whereas stock returns tend to affect spread changes in calm periods. While market liquidity affects spreads only in turbulent regimes the level of interest rates is an important determinant of spread changes in both regimes. Finally, we identify stock returns, lagged ASW spread levels, and lagged volatility of ASW spreads as major drivers of the regime shifts. The results are robust in the extended sample (January 2006 to October 2013) that includes a post-crisis period.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Aussenegg & Lukas Götz & Ranko Jelic, 2016. "European asset swap spreads and the credit crisis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(7), pages 572-600, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:22:y:2016:i:7:p:572-600
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2014.935869
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahn, Jungkyu & Ahn, Yongkil, 2022. "Demystifying the US Treasury floating rate note puzzle: A swap market perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Ahn, Jungkyu & Ahn, Yongkil, 2023. "What drives the TIPS–Treasury bond mispricing?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Bruce Burton & Satish Kumar & Nitesh Pandey, 2020. "Twenty-five years of The European Journal of Finance (EJF): a retrospective analysis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(18), pages 1817-1841, December.
    4. Mariya Gubareva, 2018. "Historical Interest Rate Sensitivity of Emerging Market Sovereign Debt: Evidence of Regime Dependent Behavior," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 405-442, November.

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