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Investigating the stationarity of insurance premiums: international evidence

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  • Chien-Chiang Lee
  • Ching-Chuan Tsong
  • Shih-Jui Yang
  • Chi-Hung Chang

Abstract

This article explores whether there is support for the stationarity hypotheses of life and non-life insurance premiums during the period 1979--2007 for 40 heterogeneous countries. The stationarity of insurance premiums affects insurance companies’ prediction on their future inflow of premium income, which affects the liquidity of insurance companies and their investment plans and thus is relevant to the insurers’ operation. This article employs the advanced nonlinear panel unit-root test with a sequential panel selection method to classify the entire panel into two groups: stationary countries and non-stationary countries. We apply Monte Carlo simulations to derive empirical distributions of the test, which allows us to correct for the finite-sample bias and to consider the cross-country effects. We find relatively stationary life insurance premiums in countries from the following groups: high-income, Europe, and common law origin; relatively stationary non-life insurance premiums exist in the following groups: low-income, Middle East and Africa, and common law origin. Evidence herein shows that different classifications, including income levels, geographic regions, regionally or economically integrated blocs, and legal system, affect the stationarity of life and non-life insurance premiums.

Suggested Citation

  • Chien-Chiang Lee & Ching-Chuan Tsong & Shih-Jui Yang & Chi-Hung Chang, 2013. "Investigating the stationarity of insurance premiums: international evidence," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 276-297, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:19:y:2013:i:4:p:276-297
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2011.653577
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    Cited by:

    1. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Norman, Neville R., 2015. "Insurance development and the finance-growth nexus: Evidence from 34 OECD countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-22.
    2. Christian Biener & Martin Eling & Shailee Pradhan, 2015. "Recent Research Developments Affecting Nonlife Insurance—The CAS Risk Premium Project 2013 Update," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 129-141, March.
    3. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2016. "Globalization and insurance activity: Evidence on the industrial and emerging countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 328-349.
    4. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, B. Mak & Norman, Neville R. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H., 2016. "Insurance penetration and economic growth nexus: Cross-country evidence from ASEAN," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 447-458.
    5. Rudra P. Pradhan, Mak B. Arvin, John H. Hall and Neville R. Norman, 2017. "Insurance Market Development and Macroeconomic Interactions in Twenty-Six Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 23-57, December.

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