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Time-varying stock returns and labor income risks in the US and UK

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  • Yuming Li

Abstract

I propose and estimate conditional asset pricing models where the risk premiums of the markets are related to the conditional covariance of the markets with labor income growth within and across countries and the volatility of the markets are related to the shocks and interactions of stock returns and labor income growth. I document that the risk premiums for the US and UK stock markets are more related to the conditional covariance of returns with the labor income growth within countries than across countries. I also find significant interactions of volatilities between stock returns and labor income within countries but not across countries. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that prices of domestic stocks are determined to a greater extent by stochastic discount factors of domestic investors than foreign investors and vice versa.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuming Li, 2011. "Time-varying stock returns and labor income risks in the US and UK," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 321-336.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:17:y:2011:i:4:p:321-336
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2010.481449
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