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Recovery of hidden state participation effects on oil and gas asset values

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  • Gavin Kretzschmar
  • Axel Kirchner

Abstract

Commodity price shocks are shown to cause shifts in both the quantity and timing of risk in natural resource assets. We provide evidence that static risk measures understate the periodicity of price risk implicit in depleting assets. Risk measurement is demonstrated to be asset specific and to vary heterogeneously in response to the combined effects of state participation and market factors. We use a global sample of oilfield assets to demonstrate that oilfield participation terms cause corporate asset cash flows, volatility horizons and minimum variance hedge ratios to vary in response to oil price. We provide additional insights into movements in the timing of physical oil and gas asset risk, a hidden effect not recoverable from market oil prices. Temporal variance for physical assets is shown to be a hidden dimensional outcome of the effects of market factors and state participation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gavin Kretzschmar & Axel Kirchner, 2008. "Recovery of hidden state participation effects on oil and gas asset values," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 755-769.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:14:y:2008:i:8:p:755-769
    DOI: 10.1080/13518470802173347
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    Cited by:

    1. Kretzschmar, Gavin L. & Sharifzyanova, Liliya, 2010. "Limits to international diversification in oil & gas – Domestic vs foreign asset control," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 468-477.
    2. Kretzschmar, Gavin L. & Kirchner, Axel, 2009. "Oil price and reserve location--Effects on oil and gas sector returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 260-272.

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    Keywords

    oil and gas; volatility; ledging;
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