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Effect of Mandatory IFRS Adoption on Accounting-Based Prediction Models for CDS Spreads

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  • Pepa Kraft
  • Wayne R. Landsman
  • Zilu Shan

Abstract

In this study, we examine the effects of mandatory IFRS adoption on accounting-based prediction models of CDS spreads for a sample of 292 firms in 16 countries. In our examination, we estimate the models for both financial and nonfinancial firms before and after mandatory IFRS adoption. We find that mean and median absolute percentage prediction errors are larger for both financial and non-financial firms after mandatory IFRS adoption. We also estimate accounting-based prediction models of CDS spreads separately for financial and non-financial US firms as a benchmark. Although US firms also show an increase in the mean and median absolute percentages of prediction errors over the same period, our findings from regressions that use a difference-in-difference design indicate that the increase is significantly greater for firms in countries that adopted IFRS mandatorily. We also find that in the post-adoption period, prediction errors are larger for firms in countries with weaker institutions such as low levels of property rights and more restrictive access to credit.

Suggested Citation

  • Pepa Kraft & Wayne R. Landsman & Zilu Shan, 2021. "Effect of Mandatory IFRS Adoption on Accounting-Based Prediction Models for CDS Spreads," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 223-250, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:euract:v:30:y:2021:i:2:p:223-250
    DOI: 10.1080/09638180.2020.1760116
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. De George, Emmanuel T. & Li, Xi & Shivakumar, Lakshmanan, 2016. "A review of the IFRS adoption literature," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67599, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Emmanuel T. De George & Xi Li & Lakshmanan Shivakumar, 2016. "A review of the IFRS adoption literature," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 898-1004, September.
    3. Florou, Annita & Kosi, Urska & Pope, Peter F., 2017. "Are international accounting standards more credit relevant than domestic standards?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68202, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Shijiao Cao & Jianqiong Wang, 2023. "Longitudinal accounting comparability and bond credit spreads: Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 1953-1981, June.
    5. Jeong‐Bon Kim & Jeff J. Wang & Eliza Xia Zhang, 2021. "Does real earnings smoothing reduce investors’ perceived risk?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(9-10), pages 1560-1595, October.
    6. Gauri Bhat & Jeffrey L. Callen & Dan Segal, 2016. "Testing the Transparency Implications of Mandatory IFRS Adoption: The Spread/Maturity Relation of Credit Default Swaps," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(12), pages 3472-3493, December.
    7. Ani Stoykova, 2021. "Effect of the Application of IFRS 15: Evidence from Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 174-188.
    8. Akarsh Kainth & Ranik Raaen Wahlstrøm, 2021. "Do IFRS Promote Transparency? Evidence from the Bankruptcy Prediction of Privately Held Swedish and Norwegian Companies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, March.

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