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Evaluating the trade-off between military spending and investment in the United States

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  • David Gold

Abstract

Using tests of a single equation model and cointegration techniques, this paper finds no evidence of a long run trade-off, and some evidence of a short-run trade-off, between military spending and investment in post-World War II United States data. The short-run trade-off is confined to the 1949-1971 period, and may be the result of the sharp expansion and contraction of military outlays in connection with the Korean and Vietnam Wars. In addition, cointegration techniques are used to identify a possible long-run trade-off between military spending and consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • David Gold, 1997. "Evaluating the trade-off between military spending and investment in the United States," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 251-266.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:8:y:1997:i:3:p:251-266
    DOI: 10.1080/10430719708404880
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gülbahar ÜÇLER, 2016. "Testing the relationship between military spending and private investments: Evidence from Turkey," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 307-318, Autumn.
    2. Eleonora Gentilucci, 2012. "Military spending : A perspective on the restructuring dynamics of the defense sector," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00747877, HAL.
    3. Gulay Gunluk-Senesen, 2002. "Budgetary trade-offs of security expenditures in Turkey," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 385-403.
    4. Pieroni, Luca & d'Agostino, Giorgio & Lorusso, Marco, 2008. "Can we declare military Keynesianism dead?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 675-691.
    5. Malizard, Julien, 2015. "Does military expenditure crowd out private investment? A disaggregated perspective for the case of France," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 44-52.
    6. Glass, Anthony, 2009. "Government expenditure on public order and safety, economic growth and private investment: Empirical evidence from the United States," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 29-37, March.
    7. Oukhallou, Youssef, 2019. "Military Expenditure and Economic Development," MPRA Paper 98352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Eleonora Gentilucci, 2012. "Military spending: A perspective on the restructuring dynamics of the defense sector," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12060, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    9. Gülbahar ÜÇLER, 2016. "Testing the relationship between military spending and private investments: Evidence from Turkey," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 307-318, Autumn.
    10. Eduardo Morales-Ramos, 2002. "Defence R&D expenditure: The crowding-out hypothesis," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 365-383.
    11. Jun Ando, 2018. "Externality of Defense Expenditure in the United States: A New Analytical Technique to Overcome Multicollinearity," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 794-808, November.
    12. Luca Pieroni, 2007. "How Strong is the Relationship between Defence Expenditure and Private Consumption? Evidence from the United States," Working Papers 0705, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    13. Hou Na & Chen Bo, 2014. "Military Expenditure and Investment in OECD Countries: Revisited," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 621-630, December.
    14. James Scott, 2001. "Does UK defence spending crowd-out UK private sector investment?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 325-336.
    15. Eleonora Gentilucci, 2012. "Military spending : A perspective on the restructuring dynamics of the defense sector," Post-Print halshs-00747877, HAL.

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