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Civil Conflict and Cross-Border Lending: A Sectoral, Micro Lender-Level Analysis of Syndicated Loans

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  • Chengchun Li
  • Yun Luo
  • Glauco De Vita

Abstract

This study examines empirically the impact of civil conflict on cross-border lending. Our sample covers 165 countries over the period 1984-2019 with loan data disaggregated at the economic sectoral level (primary, secondary and tertiary sectors), an analysis that is absent in existing literature. Our results indicate that cross-border lending to the primary sector is not significantly influenced by civil conflict, whereas cross-border lending to secondary and tertiary sectors is negatively impacted by the outbreak of civil conflict, leading to a decreased volume of loans or reversals of existing loans.

Suggested Citation

  • Chengchun Li & Yun Luo & Glauco De Vita, 2024. "Civil Conflict and Cross-Border Lending: A Sectoral, Micro Lender-Level Analysis of Syndicated Loans," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(7), pages 931-956, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:35:y:2024:i:7:p:931-956
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2023.2205311
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