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International Trade and The Onset and Escalation of Interstate Conflict: More to Fight About, or More Reasons Not to Fight?

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  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith

Abstract

Although study of the relationship between international trade and militarized conflict has become more sophisticated, whether trade reduces the chance of conflict, exacerbates it, or has no effect, remains contested. Integrating expectations from schools of thought often portrayed as incompatible, I consider two aspects of trade -- volume and interdependence -- and model conflict as a two-stage process involving onset and escalation. This perspective leads to robust statistical findings that trade is Janus-faced, both facilitating and inhibiting conflict at different stages, supporting the conclusion that a focus on international conflict as a communication process promises better theory in international relations.

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  • Benjamin E. Goldsmith, 2013. "International Trade and The Onset and Escalation of Interstate Conflict: More to Fight About, or More Reasons Not to Fight?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 555-578, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:24:y:2013:i:6:p:555-578
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2013.763637
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    Cited by:

    1. Yikai Wang & Simon Alder, 2017. "Divide and Rule: An Origin of Polarization and Ethnic Conflict," 2017 Meeting Papers 1242, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Imad El-Anis, 2018. "Economic Integration and Security in the Middle East and North Africa: What Prospects for a Liberal Peace?," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 34(3), pages 233-263, September.

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