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Incorporating the effect of weather in construction scheduling and management with sine wave curves: application in the United Kingdom

Author

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  • Pablo Ballesteros-Pérez
  • Stefán Thor Smith
  • Josephine Gwen Lloyd-Papworth
  • Peter Cooke

Abstract

The impact of (adverse) weather is a common cause of delays, legal claims and economic losses in construction projects. Research has recently been carried out aimed at incorporating the effect of weather in project planning; but these studies have focussed on either a narrow set of weather variables, or a very limited range of construction activities or projects. A method for processing a country’s historical weather data into a set of weather delay maps for some representative standard construction activities is proposed. Namely, sine curves are used to associate daily combinations of weather variables to delay and provide coefficients for expected productivity losses. A complete case study comprising the construction of these maps and the associated sine waves for the UK is presented along with an example of their use in building construction planning. Findings of this study indicate that UK weather extends project durations by an average of 21%. However, using climatological data derived from weather observations when planning could lead to average reductions in project durations of 16%, with proportional reductions in indirect and overhead costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Ballesteros-Pérez & Stefán Thor Smith & Josephine Gwen Lloyd-Papworth & Peter Cooke, 2018. "Incorporating the effect of weather in construction scheduling and management with sine wave curves: application in the United Kingdom," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(12), pages 666-682, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:36:y:2018:i:12:p:666-682
    DOI: 10.1080/01446193.2018.1478109
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    Cited by:

    1. Emad Mohamed & Parinaz Jafari & Adam Chehouri & Simaan AbouRizk, 2021. "Simulation-Based Approach for Lookahead Scheduling of Onshore Wind Projects Subject to Weather Risk," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-27, September.
    2. Vazquez, Alexei & Marasinou, Chrysostomos & Kalogridis, Georgios & Ellinas, Christos, 2024. "Activity delay patterns in project networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
    3. Igor Semenenko & Junwook Yoo, 2019. "Climate Change and Real Estate Prices," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(11), pages 1-1, November.
    4. Alberto Cerezo-Narváez & Andrés Pastor-Fernández & Manuel Otero-Mateo & Pablo Ballesteros-Pérez & Francisco Rodríguez-Pecci, 2021. "Knowledge as an Organizational Asset for Managing Complex Projects: The Case of Naval Platforms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Steven J. Schuldt & Mathew R. Nicholson & Yaquarri A. Adams & Justin D. Delorit, 2021. "Weather-Related Construction Delays in a Changing Climate: A Systematic State-of-the-Art Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-25, March.
    6. Zhou, Yifan & Miao, Jindan & Yan, Bin & Zhang, Zhisheng, 2020. "Bio-objective long-term maintenance scheduling for wind turbines in multiple wind farms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1136-1147.
    7. Kwabena Asomanin Anaman & Irene Susana Egyir, 2019. "Economic Shocks and the Growth of the Construction Industry in Ghana Over the 50-Year Period From 1968 to 2017," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, June.

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