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A model for predicting plant maintenance costs

Author

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  • David Edwards
  • Gary Holt
  • Frank Harris

Abstract

A model is presented that predicts the total cost of plant maintenance (i.e. direct cost of maintenance plus indirect cost of lost production) and is derived studying a random sample of tracked hydraulic excavators. Analysis is based on the machine history file data of 33 plant items, modelled using multiple regression (MR) analysis. Validation of the model was determined via the combination of an observed high R 2 at 0.94 and various statistical tests which confirmed the prerequisites of a rigorous MR analysis. Machine weight, type of industry and company attitude towards predictive maintenance were found to be the best predictor variables of total plant maintenance cost. The paper also discusses reasons underlying the inclusion of predictor variables in the final model, and concludes with clear directions for future research in this field.

Suggested Citation

  • David Edwards & Gary Holt & Frank Harris, 2000. "A model for predicting plant maintenance costs," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 65-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:18:y:2000:i:1:p:65-75
    DOI: 10.1080/014461900370960
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    Cited by:

    1. Pascual, R. & Meruane, V. & Rey, P.A., 2008. "On the effect of downtime costs and budget constraint on preventive and replacement policies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 144-151.
    2. Xiao Wang & Hongwei Wang & Chao Qi, 2016. "Multi-agent reinforcement learning based maintenance policy for a resource constrained flow line system," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 325-333, April.

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