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Futurity, Pro-cyclicality and Financial Crises

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  • Ronen Palan

Abstract

Nearly a century ago, one of the leading forefathers of the school of evolutionary economics, John R. Commons, coined the term 'futurity' to describe an epochal change in the late nineteenth-century advanced economies. Futurity refers to the reorientation of economies towards the future, and specifically to the fledgling practice of treating businesses as 'going concerns' and measuring its value in terms of their anticipated future profits. Curiously, the implication of such epochal changes on the performance of the financial system had rarely been discussed, let alone addressed. This article presents a theoretical argument that suggests that futurity encourages pro-cyclical dynamics that are pulling the financial systems in ever more violent and disastrous swings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronen Palan, 2015. "Futurity, Pro-cyclicality and Financial Crises," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 367-385, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:cnpexx:v:20:y:2015:i:3:p:367-385
    DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2014.951427
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Photis Lysandrou & Anastasia Nesvetailova, 2015. "The role of shadow banking entities in the financial crisis: a disaggregated view," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 257-279, April.
    2. Anastasia Nesvetailova, 2015. "A Crisis of the Overcrowded Future: Shadow Banking and the Political Economy of Financial Innovation," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 431-453, June.
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