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The New Political Economy of the Macroprudential Ideational Shift

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  • Andrew Baker

Abstract

From late 2008 onwards, in the space of six months, international financial regulatory networks centred around the Swiss city of Basel presided over a startlingly rapid ideational shift, the significance and importance of which remains to be deciphered. From being relatively unpopular and very much on the sidelines, the idea of macroprudential regulation (MPR) moved to the centre of the policy agenda and came to represent a new Basel consensus, as the principal interpretative frame, for financial technocrats and regulators seeking to diagnose and understand the financial crisis and to advance institutional blueprints for regulatory reform. This article sets out to explain how and why that ideational shift occurred. It identifies four scoping conditions of presence, position, promotion, and plausibility, that account for the successful rise to prominence of macroprudential ideas through an insiders' coup d'�tat. The final section of the article argues that this macroprudential shift is an example of a 'gestalt flip' or third order change in Peter Hall's terms, but it is not yet a paradigm shift, because the development of first order policy settings and second order policy instruments is still ongoing, giving the macroprudential ideational shift a highly contested and contingent character.

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  • Andrew Baker, 2013. "The New Political Economy of the Macroprudential Ideational Shift," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 112-139, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:cnpexx:v:18:y:2013:i:1:p:112-139
    DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2012.662952
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    1. Brennan, Geoffrey & Pettit, Philip, 2005. "The Economy of Esteem: An Essay on Civil and Political Society," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199289813.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Carsten Daugbjerg & Adrian Kay, 2020. "Policy feedback and pathways: when change leads to endurance and continuity to change," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 53(2), pages 253-268, June.
    4. Pierre Durand & Gaëtan Le Quang, 2020. "Banks to basics! Why banking regulation should focus on equity," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-2, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    5. Andrew Baker, 2013. "The gradual transformation? The incremental dynamics of macroprudential regulation," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(4), pages 417-434, December.
    6. Charles B. Roger, 2024. "Informality and the governance dilemma: How institutional inter‐linkages can bridge accountability gaps," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 15(1), pages 114-120, February.
    7. Ibrocevic, Edin & Thiemann, Matthias, 2018. "All economic ideas are equal, but some are more equal than others: A differentiated perspective on macroprudential ideas and their implementation," SAFE Working Paper Series 214, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    8. Baer, Moritz & Campiglio, Emanuele & Deyris, Jérôme, 2021. "It takes two to dance: Institutional dynamics and climate-related financial policies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    9. Durand, Pierre & Le Quang, Gaëtan, 2022. "Banks to basics! Why banking regulation should focus on equity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(1), pages 349-372.
    10. Daniel Mügge & Bart Stellinga, 2015. "The unstable core of global finance: Contingent valuation and governance of international accounting standards," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(1), pages 47-62, March.
    11. Romain Plassard, 2020. "Making a Breach: The Incorporation of Agent-Based Models into the Bank of England's Toolkit," GREDEG Working Papers 2020-30, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    12. Caner Bakir, 2017. "How can interactions among interdependent structures, institutions, and agents inform financial stability? What we have still to learn from global financial crisis," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 50(2), pages 217-239, June.
    13. Paul Cavelaars & Jakob de Haan & Paul Hilbers & Bart Stellinga, 2013. "Challenges for financial sector supervision," DNB Occasional Studies 1106, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    14. Huichen Jiang & Yifan He, 2018. "Applying Data Envelopment Analysis in Measuring the Efficiency of Chinese Listed Banks in the Context of Macroprudential Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 6(10), pages 1-18, September.
    15. Mustafa Yagci & Caner Bakir, 2021. "Bridging international political economy and public policy and administration research on central banking [The missing politics of central banks]," Policy and Society, Darryl S. Jarvis and M. Ramesh, vol. 40(4), pages 502-521.
    16. Lea Steininger & Casimir Hesse, 2024. "Buying into new ideas: The ECB’s evolving justification of unlimited liquidity," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp357, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    17. Caner Bakir & Sinan Akgunay & Kerem Coban, 2021. "Why does the combination of policy entrepreneur and institutional entrepreneur roles matter for the institutionalization of policy ideas?," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 54(2), pages 397-422, June.
    18. Katalin Mérő, 2017. "The Emergence of Macroprudential Bank Regulation: A Review," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 67(3), pages 289-309, September.
    19. Stefano Pagliari & Meredith Wilf, 2021. "Regulatory novelty after financial crises: Evidence from international banking and securities standards, 1975–2016," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(3), pages 933-951, July.
    20. Lucia Quaglia & Aneta Spendzharova, 2017. "Post‐crisis reforms in banking: Regulators at the interface between domestic and international governance," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), pages 422-437, December.
    21. Pablo Gemar & German Gemar & Vanesa Guzman-Parra, 2019. "Modeling the Sustainability of Bank Profitability Using Partial Least Squares," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-13, September.
    22. Johnson, Juliet & Arel-Bundock, Vincent & Portniaguine, Vladislav, 2018. "Adding rooms onto a house we love: Central banking after the Global Financial Crisis," SocArXiv bms5n, Center for Open Science.
    23. Bengtsson, Elias, 2020. "Macroprudential policy in the EU: A political economy perspective," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    24. Thiemann, Matthias & Aldegwy, Mohamed & Ibrocevic, Edin, 2016. "Understanding the shift from micro to macro-prudential thinking: A discursive network analysis," SAFE Working Paper Series 136, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    25. Aldegwy, Mohamed & Thiemann, Matthias, 2016. "How economics got it wrong: Formalism, equilibrium modelling and pseudo-optimization in banking regulatory studies," SAFE Working Paper Series 138, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.

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