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Potential outcomes of multi-variable climate change on water resources in the Santa Basin, Peru

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  • Arnout van Soesbergen
  • Mark Mulligan

Abstract

Water resources in the Santa Basin in the Peruvian Andes are increasingly under pressure from climate change and population increase. Impacts of temperature-driven glacier retreat on streamflow are better studied than those of precipitation changes, yet present and future water resources are mostly dependent on precipitation, which is more difficult to predict with climate models. This study combines a broad range of projections from climate models with a hydrological model (WaterWorld), showing a general trend towards an increase in water availability due to precipitation increases over the basin. However, high uncertainties in these projections necessitate basin-wide policies aimed at increased adaptability.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnout van Soesbergen & Mark Mulligan, 2018. "Potential outcomes of multi-variable climate change on water resources in the Santa Basin, Peru," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 150-165, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:cijwxx:v:34:y:2018:i:2:p:150-165
    DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2016.1259101
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    Cited by:

    1. Ávila-García, Daniela & Morató, Jordi & Pérez-Maussán, Ana I. & Santillán-Carvantes, Patricia & Alvarado, Jannice & Comín, Francisco A., 2020. "Impacts of alternative land-use policies on water ecosystem services in the Río Grande de Comitán-Lagos de Montebello watershed, Mexico," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).

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