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Survival and Exits in Neighbourhoods: A Long-Term Analyses

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  • Viggo Nordvik
  • Lena Magnusson Turner

Abstract

Neighbourhoods form a frame for our lives. At the same time, neighbourhoods are themselves formed by mobility into and out of them. This paper studies who stays in and who leaves in two districts of Oslo. The empirical analysis is based on a survival model, estimated on a 10-year long longitudinal data-set, because neither theory nor prior studies yield sufficient guidance to build an empirical model. We propose a way to nest and test survival models and utilise this in the model specification. We find that the intensity of the outflow of native Norwegian from an area is not to any substantial degree related to the size of the immigrant population. Hence, our results do not confirm the widespread narrative of white flight as a response to an increased immigrant population in areas of Oslo. Instead, the larger part of the outflow is explained by variables related to the life-course of families. Results do not suggest that increasing the ethnic or income diversity of Oslo neighbourhoods would substantially increase outflows of native Norwegians.

Suggested Citation

  • Viggo Nordvik & Lena Magnusson Turner, 2015. "Survival and Exits in Neighbourhoods: A Long-Term Analyses," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 228-251, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:chosxx:v:30:y:2015:i:2:p:228-251
    DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2014.982518
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    Cited by:

    1. Terje Wessel & Viggo Nordvik, 2019. "Mixed neighbourhoods and native out-mobility in the Oslo region: The importance of parenthood," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 56(5), pages 885-905, April.
    2. Sue Easton & Gwilym Pryce, 2019. "Not so welcome here? Modelling the impact of ethnic in-movers on the length of stay of home-owners in micro-neighbourhoods," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 56(14), pages 2847-2862, November.
    3. George Galster & Lena Magnusson Turner, 2017. "Status discrepancy as a driver of residential mobility: Evidence from Oslo," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 49(9), pages 2155-2175, September.

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