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A Multiple Error-Correction Model of Housing Supply

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  • Simon Stevenson
  • James Young

Abstract

This paper considers supply dynamics in the context of the Irish residential market. The analysis, in a multiple error-correction framework, reveals that although developers did respond to disequilibrium in supply, the rate of adjustment was relatively slow. In contrast, however, disequilibrium in demand did not impact upon supply, suggesting that inelastic supply conditions could explain the prolonged nature of the boom in the Irish market. Increased elasticity in the later stages of the boom may have been a contributory factor in the extent of the house price falls observed in recent years.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Stevenson & James Young, 2014. "A Multiple Error-Correction Model of Housing Supply," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 362-379, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:chosxx:v:29:y:2014:i:3:p:362-379
    DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2013.803040
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard, 2008. "Estimating the Structural Demand for Irish Housing," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/08, Central Bank of Ireland.
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Floros, Christos, 2015. "Dynamic Connectedness of UK Regional Property Prices," MPRA Paper 68421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    3. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Christos Floros & David Gabauer, 2018. "The dynamic connectedness of UK regional property returns," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(14), pages 3110-3134, November.
    4. Bimonte, Salvatore & Stabile, Arsenio, 2015. "Local taxation and urban development. Testing for the side-effects of the Italian property tax," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 100-107.
    5. Sviatlana Engerstam & Abukar Warsame & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2023. "Exploring the Effects of Municipal Land and Building Policies on Apartment Size in New Residential Construction in Sweden," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-25, April.
    6. Sheng-Hau Lin & Jia-Hsun Li & Jing-Chzi Hsieh & Xianjin Huang & Jia-Tsong Chen, 2018. "Impact of Property Tax on Housing-Market Disequilibrium in Different Regions: Evidence from Taiwan for the period 1982–2016," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Benjamas Jirasakuldech & Riza Emekter & Thuy Bui, 2023. "Non-linear structures, chaos, and bubbles in U.S. regional housing markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 63-93, March.

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