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A framework for integrating scientific forecasts with indigenous systems of weather forecasting in southern Nigeria

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  • Eromose E. Ebhuoma

Abstract

In Delta state, Nigeria, where food production is rain-fed, climatic risks have compromised rural livelihoods. Information about future weather conditions can help farmers adapt more efficiently. Data obtained using group discussions and semi-structured interviews revealed that farmers in Delta state rely on indigenous knowledge systems, despite occasional inconsistencies. Most farmers’ trust in seasonal climate forecasts has dwindled because they suffered losses when previously relying on the seasonal forecasts in a planting season. With climatic risks expected to increase by 2030, there is a need to rebuild farmers’ trust in seasonal climate forecasts, using a proposed multiple evidence-based approach.

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  • Eromose E. Ebhuoma, 2020. "A framework for integrating scientific forecasts with indigenous systems of weather forecasting in southern Nigeria," Development in Practice, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 472-484, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cdipxx:v:30:y:2020:i:4:p:472-484
    DOI: 10.1080/09614524.2020.1723494
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    Cited by:

    1. Thirze D. G. Hermans & Robert Šakić Trogrlić & Marc J. C. Homberg & Hannah Bailon & Rebecca Sarku & Anuszka Mosurska, 2022. "Exploring the integration of local and scientific knowledge in early warning systems for disaster risk reduction: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1125-1152, November.

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