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Spillovers from stock markets to currency markets: Evidence from Copula-CoVar with time-varying higher moments

Author

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  • Muhammad Usman
  • Zaghum Umar
  • Mariya Gubareva
  • Dang Khoa Tran

Abstract

This study analyses the relationship between equites and foreign exchange markets by employing a conditional value at risk (CoVaR) framework for developed and developing economies accounting for an upside or downside shock, greater or equal to their VaRs. The CoVaR of currency returns conditional on both, the local equity and SP500 index are significant and greater than their unconditional VaRs for most currencies. The ∆CoVaRs for currency market conditional on the local stock index are greater than those conditional on the SP500, showing that local stock index provides greater contributions to the shocks in currency returns compared to the SP500 index. Our findings have important implications for developing cross-market and cross-border hedging strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Usman & Zaghum Umar & Mariya Gubareva & Dang Khoa Tran, 2023. "Spillovers from stock markets to currency markets: Evidence from Copula-CoVar with time-varying higher moments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(52), pages 6091-6114, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6091-6114
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141455
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    Cited by:

    1. Satish Kumar & Amar Rao, 2024. "Assessing And Mitigating The Impact Of Geopolitical Risk Uncertainty On The Indian Financial Sector: A Policy Perspective," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(3), pages 483-526, July.

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