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Invoice currency choice, nonlinearities and exchange rate pass-through

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  • Thi-Ngoc Anh Nguyen
  • Kiyotaka Sato

Abstract

Estimating time-varying thresholds as a proxy for exporter’s predicted exchange rates, this study proposes a new approach to analyse possible asymmetric behaviour of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) or pricing-to-market (PTM) in Japanese exports between yen appreciation and depreciation periods. Constructing the industry-specific nominal effective exchange rate on a contract (invoice) currency basis, we perform the multivariate threshold near-vector autoregressive (near-MTVAR) estimation and reveal a strong tendency of symmetric ERPT in the short-run, between yen appreciation and depreciation periods. From the 2000s, however, Japanese machinery exporters increased the degree of PTM even in the long-run, while other industries raised the degree of long-run ERPT, reflecting the difference of product differentiation across industries. This evidence has significant implications for the recent unresponsiveness of the Japanese trade balance to the large depreciation of the yen.

Suggested Citation

  • Thi-Ngoc Anh Nguyen & Kiyotaka Sato, 2020. "Invoice currency choice, nonlinearities and exchange rate pass-through," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 1048-1069, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1048-1069
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1650884
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. LIU Nan & SATO Kiyotaka, 2024. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through between Unexpected Yen Appreciation and Depreciation: The case for Japanese machinery exports," Discussion papers 24008, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    2. Zou, Zongsen & Zhang, Yu & Wang, Meng & Wang, Xiuling, 2022. "Do export quality and destination income matter for exchange rate pass-through? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    3. Kawasaki, Kentaro & Sato, Kiyotaka, 2021. "A new assessment of economic integration in East Asia: Application of an industry-specific G-PPP model," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Rebecca Neumann & Saleh S. Tabrizy, 2021. "Exchange Rates and Trade Balances: Effects of Intra-Industry Trade and Vertical Specialization," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 613-647, July.
    5. Hülya Saygılı, 2023. "Invoicing currency, exchange rate pass‐through, and value‐added trade: The case of Turkey," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4401-4419, October.
    6. Idris Abdullahi Abdulqadir, 2022. "The nonlinearity of exchange rate pass‐through on currency invoice: A quantile, generalized method of moments and threshold effect‐test from sub‐Sahara African economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1473-1494, January.
    7. Zuzana Rowland & George Lazaroiu & Ivana Podhorská, 2020. "Use of Neural Networks to Accommodate Seasonal Fluctuations When Equalizing Time Series for the CZK/RMB Exchange Rate," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.

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