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Monetary transmission with multiple policy rates: evidence from Turkey

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  • Mahir Binici
  • Hakan Kara
  • Pınar Özlü

Abstract

Quantitative easing policies have led to persistent divergence between officially announced policy rates and short-term money market rates in many economies, making it challenging to assess the stance of monetary policy in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Lack of data variation in short-term interest rates across time dimension has made it difficult to identify the monetary transmission mechanisms. In order to shed some light on this topic, we make advantage of a specific period from Turkey during which the central bank deliberately allowed the policy rates to diverge frequently from the interbank rates due to capital flow management purposes. Using bank-level flow data from this episode, we investigate the relationship between various short-term interest rate measures and bank loan/deposit rates through panel estimation methods. Our findings suggest that interbank rates are more relevant than central bank’s officially announced rates for the transmission of monetary policy when the two diverge from each other persistently. Interbank rates particularly play a key role in the pricing of loans and deposits. These findings provide helpful guidance for evaluating the monetary stance under unconventional policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahir Binici & Hakan Kara & Pınar Özlü, 2019. "Monetary transmission with multiple policy rates: evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(17), pages 1869-1893, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1869-1893
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529400
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    Cited by:

    1. Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020. "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2017, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    2. Cem Cakmakli & Selva Demiralp, 2020. "A Dynamic Evaluation of Central Bank Credibility," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2015, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    3. Koray Alper & Tanju Capacioglu, 2023. "Funding Stability and the Pricing of Retail Rates: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2309, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    4. Mehmet Ulug & Sayım Işık & Mehmet Mert, 2023. "The effectiveness of ultra-loose monetary policy in a high inflation economy: a time-varying causality analysis for Turkey," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2855-2887, August.
    5. Chioma Peace Nwosu & Afees A. Salisu & Margaret Johnson Hilili & Izuchukwu Ifeanyi Okafor & Izuchukwu Oji-Okoro & Idis Adediran, 2019. "Evidence On Monetary Policy Transmission During Tranquil And Turbulent Periods," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(3), pages 311-350, October.
    6. Dennij Mandeij, 2020. "Determination of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Rupiah Against US Dollar and its Volatility: Application of Asset Approach," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 6(6), pages 323-336.

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