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Inflation and inflation uncertainty in China

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  • Dou Jiang

Abstract

The study examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in China using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model. Particularly, this link is investigated in China’s urban and rural sectors, motivated by the substantial urban–rural divide. The results provide strong statistical supportive evidence that higher inflation raises inflation uncertainty. On the other hand, evidence on the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation is mixed depending on the sample periods and areas examined. The understanding of inflation-uncertainty nexus in China could provide implications to policymakers in the adoption of monetary policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Dou Jiang, 2016. "Inflation and inflation uncertainty in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(41), pages 3935-3943, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3935-3943
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148258
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    Cited by:

    1. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2022. "Is Inflation Uncertainty a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Inflation-Inflation Uncertainty Nexus and Inflation Targeting in South Africa," Working Papers 202254, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Neil Lawton & Liam A. Gallagher, 2020. "The negative side of inflation targeting: revisiting inflation uncertainty in the EMU," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(29), pages 3186-3203, June.
    3. Busato, Francesco & Varlese, Monica & Ulloa Severino, Claudia, 2022. "Public debt heterogeneity at country level: an empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 113812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mehdi Hajamini, 2019. "Asymmetric Causality Between Inflation and Uncertainty: Evidences from 33 Developed and Developing Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(2), pages 287-309, June.

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