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The price effects of joining the euro: modelling the Greek experience using non-linear price-adjustment models

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  • Michael Arghyrou

Abstract

The widely-held hypothesis that accession to the EMU has caused a structural increase in Greek consumer prices is tested. No econometric evidence of such an effect is found. There is strong evidence of (a) multiple structural breaks in the process driving Greek equilibrium consumer prices and (b) non-linear price adjustment. The findings explain the post-EMU accession acceleration in Greek prices as normal, equilibrium-restoring behaviour. They also have important policy implications for the countries planning to join the euro in the foreseeable future.

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  • Michael Arghyrou, 2007. "The price effects of joining the euro: modelling the Greek experience using non-linear price-adjustment models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 493-503.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:493-503
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427221
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    1. Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo, 1993. "Modelling Non-Linear Economic Relationships," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198773207.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nuno Ferreira & Rui Menezes & Sónia Bentes, 2013. "Cointegration and Structural Breaks in the PIIGS Economies," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 3(4), pages 611-611.
    2. Yi-Hua Wu & Eric Lin, 2011. "Does purchasing power parity hold following the launch of the euro? Evidence from the panel unit root test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 167-172.
    3. Nuno Ferreira & Rui Menezes & Sónia Bentes, 2014. "Cointegration and Structural Breaks in the EU Sovereign Debt Crisis," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 4(1), pages 680-680.
    4. Nuno Ferreira & Rui Menezes & Manuela M. Oliveira, 2013. "Structural Breaks and Cointegration Analysis in the EU Developed Markets," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 3(4), pages 652-652.
    5. Fredj Jawadi & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2012. "Consumption and Wealth in the US, the UK and the Euro Area:A Nonlinear Investigation," NIPE Working Papers 24/2012, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.

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