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Equity market integration versus segmentation in three dominant markets of the Southern African Customs Union: cointegration and causality tests

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  • Jenifer Piesse
  • Bruce Hearn

Abstract

Empirical tests of theories of financial market integration and segmentation have predominantly focused on developed OECD countries and the emerging markets of Asia Pacific. This study uses a unique panel of equity market indices from the principal Southern African Customs Union (SACU) markets. It tests the hypothesis of market integration using a cointegration approach. Markets that are found to be integrated are then tested for evidence of Granger causality through an error correction mechanism. Results obtained using VAR modelling techniques are compared to those using an ARDL model. While results lend support to existing trade, macroeconomic and developmental linkages and effects between and within the countries, there is some evidence for the presence of a regional factor common to African Emerging Markets that explains causality from Namibia to South Africa. The results support the view that institution building has progressed, which is considered to be a valuable contribution to growth promotion policies in SSA and market integration throughout financial markets in the SADC community.

Suggested Citation

  • Jenifer Piesse & Bruce Hearn, 2002. "Equity market integration versus segmentation in three dominant markets of the Southern African Customs Union: cointegration and causality tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(14), pages 1711-1722.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1711-1722
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840110119448
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Christou, Christina & Miller, Stephen M., 2014. "Country and industry convergence of equity markets: International evidence from club convergence and clustering," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 36-58.
    2. Al Nasser, Omar M. & Hajilee, Massomeh, 2016. "Integration of emerging stock markets with global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-12.
    3. Tomoe Moore, 2007. "Has entry to the European Union altered the dynamic links of stock returns for the emerging markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1431-1446.
    4. Donou-Adonsou, Ficawoyi, 2019. "Colonialism ties and stock markets: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 327-343.
    5. Carl H. Korkpoe & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2018. "Behaviour of Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index Returns - An Asymmetric GARCH and News Impact Effects Approach," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(1), pages 26-42, January-M.
    6. Ian Babetskii & Luboš Komárek & Zlatuše Komárková, 2007. "Financial Integration of Stock Markets among New EU Member States and the Euro Area," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 57(7-8), pages 341-362, September.
    7. Kuttu, Saint, 2014. "Return and volatility dynamics among four African equity markets: A multivariate VAR-EGARCH analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 56-69.
    8. Hearn, Bruce & Piesse, Jenifer, 2009. "Sector level cost of equity in African financial markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 257-278, December.
    9. Bruce Hearn & Jenifer Piesse, 2010. "Barriers to the development of small stock markets: A case study of Swaziland and Mozambique," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(7), pages 1018-1037.
    10. Marashdeh, Hazem, 2005. "Stock Market Integration in the MENA Region: An Application of the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Economics Working Papers wp05-27, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    11. Michael Graham & Jussi Nikkinen & Jarkko Peltomäki, 2020. "Web-Based Investor Fear Gauge and Stock Market Volatility: An Emerging Market Perspective," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 19(2), pages 127-153, August.
    12. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2018. "China–Africa financial markets linkages: Volatility and interdependence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1140-1164.
    13. Z. Wang & J. Yang & D. A. Bessler, 2003. "Financial crisis and African stock market integration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(9), pages 527-533.
    14. Izunna Anyikwa & Micheal Brookes & Pierre Le Roux, 2018. "African stock markets integration: an analysis of the relationship between major stock markets in Africa," Working Papers 1812, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Mar 2018.
    15. Ekaterina Dorodnykh, 2012. "What Is the Degree of Convergence among Developed Equity Markets?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(2), pages 2-16, April.
    16. Bruce Hearn & Jenifer Piesse, 2008. "Opportunities And Costs Of Portfolio Diversification In Sadc'S Smallest Equity Markets," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 399-426, September.
    17. Ulf Nielsson, 2007. "Interdependence of Nordic and Baltic Stock Markets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 9-28, January.
    18. J. Vineesh Prakash & D. K. Nauriyal, 2021. "Integration and Interdependence Among Equity Markets in South Asia: Measuring Through ARDL Bounds Approach," Millennial Asia, , vol. 12(2), pages 229-251, August.

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