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Inflation and real stock prices

Author

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  • Tony Caporale
  • Chulho Jung

Abstract

A time series measure of expectations is used to demonstrate the existence of an inverse relationship between inflation and real stock prices, even after controlling for output shocks. This provides some evidence against Fama's famous conjecture (Fama, E., 1981, Stock returns, real activity, inflation, and money, American Economic Review, Sept, 545 - 565).

Suggested Citation

  • Tony Caporale & Chulho Jung, 1997. "Inflation and real stock prices," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 265-266.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:7:y:1997:i:3:p:265-266
    DOI: 10.1080/096031097333619
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Samer Al-Rjoub, 2005. "The adjustments of stock prices to information about inflation: evidence from MENA countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(14), pages 871-879.
    2. Mondher bellalah & Umie Habiba, 2013. "Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Stock Exchange Prices: Evidence from USA Japan and China," THEMA Working Papers 2013-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    3. Anyiwe, Mercy Ada & Sunday Osahon Igbinedion, 2015. "Stock Returns, Inflation and the “Reverse Causality†Hypothesis: Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 4(1), pages 32-50, January.
    4. Ali Akbar Nazari & Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri, 2016. "Examining the Relationship between Economic Variables and Financial Performance of the Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 188-197, July.
    5. Chih-Chuan Yeh & Ching-Fang Chi, 2009. "The Co-Movement and Long-Run Relationship between Inflation and Stock Returns: Evidence from 12 OECD Countries," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 5(2), pages 167-186, July.
    6. Ray Ball, 2024. "Accounting for Inflation: The Dog That Didn't Bark," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 60(1), pages 1-12, March.
    7. Farid, Hazim & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is there any causal link between shariah index and islamic unit trust growth ? Malaysian evidence," MPRA Paper 106226, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Floros, C., 2004. "Stock Returns and Inflation in Greece," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(2).
    9. Kosmas Njanike & Pension Katsuro & Michael Mudzura, 2009. "Factors Influencing the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Performance (2002-2007)," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 9(2), pages 161-172.
    10. Khan, Khalid & SU, Chi-Wei & Khurshid, Adnan & Rehman, Ashfaq U., 2018. "Can the Fisher Effect Theory Work in Pakistan?," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 25(1), October.
    11. Sung Bae & Taihyeup David Yi, 2009. "Structural breaks and the Fisher hypothesis in bond and stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(24), pages 1961-1973.
    12. Xing-Qiu Zhao, 1999. "Stock prices, inflation and output: evidence from China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(8), pages 509-511.
    13. Madsen, Jakob B., 2005. "The Fisher hypothesis and the interaction between share returns, inflation and supply shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 103-120, February.
    14. Madsen, Jakob B., 2002. "The share market boom and the recent disinflation in the OECD countries: the tax-effects, the inflation-illusion and the risk-aversion hypotheses reconsidered1," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 115-141.
    15. Širůček, Martin, 2015. "Kauzalní vztah peněžní nabídky a amerického akciového trhu [Money supply and US stock market causality]," MPRA Paper 66357, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Aug 2015.
    16. Bellalah, Mondher & Masood, Omar & Thapa, Priya Darshini Pun & Levyne, Olivier & Triki, Rabeb, 2012. "Economic forces and stock exchange prices: pre and post impacts of global financial recession of 2008," MPRA Paper 50942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Theophano Patra & Sunil Poshakwale, 2006. "Economic variables and stock market returns: evidence from the Athens stock exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 993-1005.

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