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Crude oil hedging strategy: new evidence from the data of the financial crisis

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  • Yuki Toyoshima
  • Tadahiro Nakajima
  • Shigeyuki Hamori

Abstract

This article examines the performance of three multivariate conditional volatility models with respect to crude oil spot and futures returns: the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model, Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation (A-DCC) model and Diagonal Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner (Diagonal BEKK) model. Moreover, the article proposes using the time-varying optimal hedge ratio (OHR) to build a hedging strategy in the market, taking advantage of these multivariate conditional volatility models. We employ daily spot and futures data from the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil market from 3 January 2007 to 30 December 2011. Variance of portfolios and hedging effectiveness index show that the performance in terms of reducing variance is good in order of A-DCC, DCC and Diagonal-BEKK.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuki Toyoshima & Tadahiro Nakajima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2013. "Crude oil hedging strategy: new evidence from the data of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(12), pages 1033-1041, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:23:y:2013:i:12:p:1033-1041
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2013.788779
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Esmaeili, Parisa & Rafei, Meysam & Salari, Mahmoud & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel, 2024. "From oil surges to renewable shifts: Unveiling the dynamic impact of supply and demand shocks in global crude oil market on U.S. clean energy trends," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    2. Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2020. "Safe haven, hedge and diversification for G7 stock markets: Gold versus bitcoin," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 212-224.
    3. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2020. "Is Bitcoin Similar to Gold? An Integrated Overview of Empirical Findings," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Hao, Lin-Na & Tao, Ran, 2020. "The stability of U.S. economic policy: Does it really matter for oil price?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. You-How Go & Wee-Yeap Lau, 2019. "Palm oil spot-futures relation: Evidence from unrefined and refined products," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(3), pages 133-142.
    6. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugando, Mikel, 2014. "US dollar exchange rate and food price dependence: Implications for portfolio risk management," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 72-89.
    7. Wenming Shi & Kevin X. Li & Zhongzhi Yang & Ganggang Wang, 2017. "Time-varying copula models in the shipping derivatives market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 1039-1058, November.
    8. You‐How Go & Jia‐Jun Teo & Kam Fong Chan, 2023. "The effectiveness of crude oil futures hedging during infectious disease outbreaks in the 21st century," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1559-1575, November.
    9. Aleksander Olstad & George Filis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2021. "Oil and currency volatilities: Co‐movements and hedging opportunities," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2351-2374, April.
    10. Wang, Shuang & Wallace, Stein W. & Lu, Jing & Gu, Yewen, 2020. "Handling financial risks in crude oil imports: Taking into account crude oil prices as well as country and transportation risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoude & Seong-Min Yoon, 2014. "Structural Breaks, Dynamic Correlations, Volatility Transmission, and Hedging Strategies for International Petroleum Prices and U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate," Working Papers 884, Economic Research Forum, revised Dec 2014.
    12. Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Measuring the Time-Frequency Dynamics of Return and Volatility Connectedness in Global Crude Oil Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, October.
    13. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Muhammad Naveed & Ifraz Adeel, 2021. "Risk and Return Transmissions From Crude Oil to Latin American Stock Markets During the Crisis: Portfolio Implications," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, April.
    14. Ehsan Bagheri & Seyed Babak Ebrahimi & Arman Mohammadi & Mahsa Miri & Stelios Bekiros, 2022. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness Structure of Energy Futures and Global Financial Markets: Evidence From a Novel Time–Frequency Domain Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1087-1111, March.
    15. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2020. "Factors driving oil price —— from the perspective of United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).

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