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The Greek implied volatility index: construction and properties

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  • George Skiadopoulos

Abstract

There is a growing literature on implied volatility indices in developed markets. However, no similar research has been conducted in the context of emerging markets. In this paper, an implied volatility index (GVIX) is constructed for the fast developing Greek derivatives market. Next, the properties of GVIX are explored. In line with earlier results, GVIX can be interpreted as a gauge of the investor's sentiment. In addition, it is found that the underlying stock market can forecast the future movements of GVIX. However, the reverse relationship does not hold. Finally, a contemporaneous spillover between GVIX and the US volatility indices VXO and VXN is detected. The results have implications for portfolio management.

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  • George Skiadopoulos, 2004. "The Greek implied volatility index: construction and properties," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(16), pages 1187-1196.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:16:p:1187-1196
    DOI: 10.1080/0960310042000280438
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    2. Nelson Areal & Maria Cortez & Florinda Silva, 2013. "The conditional performance of US mutual funds over different market regimes: do different types of ethical screens matter?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(4), pages 397-429, December.
    3. Costas Siriopoulos & Athanasios Fassas, 2013. "Dynamic relations of uncertainty expectations: a conditional assessment of implied volatility indices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 233-266, October.
    4. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Implied volatility indices – A review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 303-329.
    5. Siriopoulos, Costas & Fassas, Athanasios, 2012. "An investor sentiment barometer — Greek Implied Volatility Index (GRIV)," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 77-93.
    6. Badshah, Ihsan & Bekiros, Stelios & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Asymmetric linkages among the fear index and emerging market volatility indices," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 17-31.
    7. Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2018. "The directional information content of options volumes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1533-1548, December.
    8. Elyas Elyasiani & Luca Gambarelli & Silvia Muzzioli, 2015. "Towards a skewness index for the Italian stock market," Department of Economics 0064, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    9. Silvia Muzzioli, 2010. "Towards a volatility index for the Italian stock market," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 10091, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    10. Supachok Thakolsri & Yuthana Sethapramote & Komain Jiranyakul, 2016. "Relationship of the Change in Implied Volatility with the Underlying Equity Index Return in Thailand," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 6(2), pages 74-86, December.
    11. Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "The Information Content of Option-Based Forecasts of Volatility: Evidence from the Italian Stock Market," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1-46.
    12. Bahram Adrangi & Arjun Chatrath & Madhuparna Kolay & Kambiz Raffiee, 2021. "Dynamic Responses of Standard and Poor’s Regional Bank Index to the U.S. Fear Index, VIX," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-18, March.
    13. Giovanni Campisi & Silvia Muzzioli, 2021. "Designing volatility indices for Austria, Finland and Spain," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 369-455, September.
    14. Xuan Vinh Vo & Kevin Daly, 2008. "Volatility amongst firms in the Dow Jones Eurostoxx50 Index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 569-582.
    15. Yue Peng & Wing Ng, 2012. "Analysing financial contagion and asymmetric market dependence with volatility indices via copulas," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 49-74, February.
    16. Nave, Juan M. & Ruiz, Javier, 2015. "Risk aversion and monetary policy in a global context," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 14-35.
    17. Bahram Adrangi & Arjun Chatrath & Joseph Macri & Kambiz Raffiee, 2019. "Dynamic Responses of Major Equity Markets to the US Fear Index," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, September.
    18. Wagner, Niklas & Szimayer, Alexander, 2004. "Local and spillover shocks in implied market volatility: evidence for the U.S. and Germany," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 237-251, September.
    19. Ahmad, Wasim & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Saini, Seema & Mishra, Ritesh Kumar, 2021. "The US equity sectors, implied volatilities, and COVID-19: What does the spillover analysis reveal?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    20. Maria Gonzalez-Perez & Alfonso Novales, 2011. "The information content in a volatility index for Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 185-216, June.
    21. Bugge, Sebastian A. & Guttormsen, Haakon J. & Molnár, Peter & Ringdal, Martin, 2016. "Implied volatility index for the Norwegian equity market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 133-141.
    22. Roland Fuss & Ferdinand Mager & Holger Wohlenberg & Lu Zhao, 2011. "The impact of macroeconomic announcements on implied volatility," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(21), pages 1571-1580.
    23. Birru, Justin & Figlewski, Stephen, 2012. "Anatomy of a meltdown: The risk neutral density for the S&P 500 in the fall of 2008," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 151-180.

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