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Reflected glory and failure: international sporting success and the stock market

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  • Glenn Boyle
  • Brett Walter

Abstract

Motivated by psychology research showing that individual mood is affected by weather and daylight savings changes respectively, Saunders (American Economic Review 83, 1337-1345, 1993) and Kamstra et al. (American Economic Review 90, 1005-1011, 2000) find that stock prices are systematically related to these economically-neutral events. Another large psychology literature documents a similarly-strong relationship between sporting team success and fan self-esteem, a finding which raises the possibility that stock prices also respond systematically to sports results, at least in markets where the majority of investors support the same team. However, applying this hypothesis to New Zealand - a small country with a single dominant sport whose primary contests are international in nature - it is found that stock return behaviour is independent of the success of the premier national sports team. Thus, irrational investor responses to sporting contest results are transitory at best.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn Boyle & Brett Walter, 2003. "Reflected glory and failure: international sporting success and the stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 225-235.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:13:y:2003:i:3:p:225-235
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100210148230
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lisa A. Kramer & Mark J. Kamstra & Maurice D. Levi, 2000. "Losing Sleep at the Market: The Daylight Saving Anomaly," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(4), pages 1005-1011, September.
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    4. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brian Lucey, 2010. "Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 835-838.
    2. Stephen Keef & Melvin Roush, 2007. "Daily weather effects on the returns of Australian stock indices," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 173-184.
    3. Sveltana Vlady, 2015. "The Effect of Climate Change on Australian Stock Equity Returns," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 88-109.
    4. Fan, Qingliang & Wang, Ting, 2018. "Game day effect on stock market: Evidence from four major sports leagues in US," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 9-18.
    5. Brian M. Lucey & Michael Dowling, 2005. "The Role of Feelings in Investor Decision‐Making," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 211-237, April.
    6. Andrew C. Worthington, 2007. "National Exuberance: A Note On The Melbourne Cup Effect In Australian Stock Returns," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 26(2), pages 170-179, June.
    7. Jean-Marc Falter & Christophe Pérignon & Olivier Vercruysse, 2008. "Impact of Overwhelming Joy on Consumer Demand," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 9(1), pages 20-42, February.
    8. J. K. Ashton & B. Gerrard & R. Hudson, 2011. "Do national soccer results really impact on the stock market?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(26), pages 3709-3717.
    9. David Alaminos & Ignacio Esteban & M. Belén Salas, 2023. "Neural networks for estimating Macro Asset Pricing model in football clubs," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 57-75, April.
    10. Glenn Boyle & Andrew Hagan & R. Seini O'Connor & Nick Whitwell, 2004. "Emotion, fear and superstition in the New Zealand stockmarket," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 65-85.
    11. Tihana Škrinjarić Patrik Barišić, 2019. "Effects of Football Match Results of Croatian National Team on Stock Returns: Evidence from Zagreb Stock Exchange," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 22(1), pages 13-45, May.
    12. Ender Demir & Ugo Rigoni, 2017. "You Lose, I Feel Better," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 58-76, January.
    13. Truong, Quang-Thai & Tran, Quynh-Nhu & Bakry, Walid & Nguyen, Duc Nguyen & Al-Mohamad, Somar, 2021. "Football sentiment and stock market returns: Evidence from a frontier market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    14. Fung, Ka Wai Terence & Demir, Ender & Lau, Marco Chi Keung & Chan, Kwok Ho, 2013. "An Examination of Sports Event Sentiment: Microeconomic Evidence from Borsa Istanbul," MPRA Paper 52874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Mishra, Vinod & Smyth, Russell, 2010. "An examination of the impact of India's performance in one-day cricket internationals on the Indian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 319-334, June.
    16. Elisabete F. Simões Vieira, 2012. "Investor sentiment and market reaction: evidence on 2010 FIFA World Cup," International Journal of Economics and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(1), pages 51-76.

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