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Measuring growth opportunities

Author

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  • Jo Danbolt
  • Ian Hirst
  • Edward Jones

Abstract

Although the impact of growth opportunities on company value has been recognized since Miller and Modigliani (1961), relatively little empirical work has been undertaken to value growth opportunities. In this study the validity of the KBM model (Kester (1984) and Brealey and Myers (1981)) is tested on a sample of 278 large UK companies for 1987-1995. Applying standard assumptions, the value of growth opportunities is found to account for a larger proportion of market values than assets-in-place. However, tests of the KBM model cast doubt on the credibility of these results and the validity of the model. The KBM model is highly sensitive to the inclusion of inflation in the risk free interest rate, and with a real interest rate (which on theoretical grounds is preferable), the model ceases to provide credible results. The model also fails to provide results consistent with expectations derived from option pricing theory regarding the relationship between the value of growth opportunities and the value of assets-in-place. These limitations of the KBM model indicate a need for a reappraisal of the method of measuring the value of growth opportunities.

Suggested Citation

  • Jo Danbolt & Ian Hirst & Edward Jones, 2002. "Measuring growth opportunities," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 203-212.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:12:y:2002:i:3:p:203-212
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100110090064
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Stowe, John D. & Xing, Xuejing, 2006. "Can growth opportunities explain the diversification discount?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 783-796, September.
    2. Gennady Latypov, 2010. "An Empirical Analysis of Growth Options of Japanese Electronics Firms," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 17(2), pages 113-140, June.
    3. Ian R. C. Hirst & Jo Danbolt & Eddie Jones, 2008. "Required Rates of Return for Corporate Investment Appraisal in the Presence of Growth Opportunities," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(5), pages 989-1006, November.
    4. Rana Yassir Hussain Xuezhou Wen Rehan Sohail Butt Haroon Hussain Sikandar Ali Qalati Irfan Abbas, 2020. "Are Growth Led Financing Decisions Causing Insolvency in Listed Firms of Pakistan?," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 23(2), pages 89-115, November.
    5. A. A. Bevan & J. Danbolt, 2004. "Testing for inconsistencies in the estimation of UK capital structure determinants," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 55-66.
    6. San Martín, Pablo & Saona, Paolo, 2017. "Capital structure in the Chilean corporate sector: Revisiting the stylized facts," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 163-174.
    7. Jo Danbolt & Ian Hirst & Eddie Jones, 2011. "The growth companies puzzle: can growth opportunities measures predict firm growth?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 1-25.
    8. Chengru Hu & Wei Jiang & Cheng-few Lee, 2013. "Managerial flexibility and the wealth effect of new product introductions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 273-294, August.
    9. Patel, Pankaj C. & João Guedes, Maria & Pagano, Michael S. & Olson, Gerard T., 2020. "Industry profitability matters: The value of sustainable growth rate and distance from bankruptcy as enablers of venture survival," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 80-92.

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