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IGARCH and variance change in the US long-run interest rate

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  • Philip Hans Franses

Abstract

It is shown that a one-time variance change in the US long-run interest rate spuriously suggests that it can be described with an IGARCH(1,1) process. The variance change is detected using a simple statistical test, and it corresponds to a change in monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip Hans Franses, 1995. "IGARCH and variance change in the US long-run interest rate," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 113-114.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:113-114
    DOI: 10.1080/758529815
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    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterini Tsouma, 2007. "Stock return dynamics and stock market interdependencies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 805-825.
    2. Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen & Thomas C. Chiang, 2017. "Surprises, sentiments, and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 1-28, July.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nikitas Pittis & Nicola Spagnolo, 2003. "IGARCH models and structural breaks," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(12), pages 765-768.
    4. LeBaron, Blake, 2003. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,: Philip Hans Franses and Dick van Dijk, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000, 296 pp., Paperback, ISBN 0-521-77965-0, $33, [UK pound]22.95, [," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 751-752.
    5. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, September.
    6. Amado Peir, 2016. "Changes in the Unconditional Variance and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1338-1343.
    7. Leonardo Chaves Borges Cardoso & Maurício Vaz Lobo Bittencourt, 2016. "Price Volatility Transmission From Oil To Energy And Non-Energy Agricultural Commodities," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 181, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    8. Jensen Anders Tolver & Lange Theis, 2010. "On Convergence of the QMLE for Misspecified GARCH Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-31, June.

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