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Testing hysteresis effect in U.S. state unemployment: new evidence using a nonlinear quantile unit root test

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Tsangyao Chang
  • Omid Ranjbar

Abstract

We revisit hysteresis effect in the unemployment rate of each of the 52 states of the United States using nonlinear quantile unit root test over the period 1976M1–2016M7. Our results indicate that unemployment rate of the U.S. economy as a whole displays hysteresis effect over recessionary periods. Nineteen out of 52 states display hysteresis behaviour over the period 1976–2016. For the remaining 33 states, we find four types of behaviours. Some states display stationarity behaviour almost in all quantiles. Some display hysteresis over recessionary periods and in contrast some display hysteresis over expansion period.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2018. "Testing hysteresis effect in U.S. state unemployment: new evidence using a nonlinear quantile unit root test," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(4), pages 249-253, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:25:y:2018:i:4:p:249-253
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1316477
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    Cited by:

    1. Leyla BAŞTAV, 2019. "ABD İşgücü Piyasasında Histeresi Etkisi Üzerine Ampirik Bir Çalışma: Yeni Keynesyen Ücret Phillips Eğrisi (1990-2014)," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.
    2. Fan, Yi & Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid, 2024. "Analyzing the degree persistence of shocks to energy security of the G7 countries: Evidence using panel SPSM-quantile unit root test," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 389-399.
    3. Yang, Yang & Zhao, Zhao, 2020. "Quantile nonlinear unit root test with covariates and an application to the PPP hypothesis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 728-736.
    4. Dieu Nsenga & Mirada Nach & Hlalefang Khobai & Clement Moyo & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Is it the natural rate or hysteresis hypothesis for unemployment in Newly Industrialized Economies?," Working Papers 1817, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Apr 2018.
    5. Iman Cheratian & Saleh Goltabar & Luis A. Gil-Alaña, 2023. "The unemployment hysteresis by territory, gender, and age groups in Iran," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-18, February.
    6. Cheng, Ka Ming, 2022. "Doubts on natural rate of unemployment: Evidence and policy implications," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 230-239.
    7. Nsenga, Dieu & Nach, Mirada & Khobai, Hlalefang & Moyo, Clement & Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Is it the natural rate or hysteresis hypothesis for unemployment rates in Newly Industrialized Economies?," MPRA Paper 86274, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Daniel Ventosa‐Santaulària & Luis G. Hernández‐Román & Alejandro Villagómez Amezcua, 2021. "Recessions and potential GDP: The case of Mexico," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 179-195, April.

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