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Oil prices and the real exchange rate in Iran: an ARDL bounds testing approach

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  • Esfandiar Jahangard
  • Arian Daneshmand
  • Mehdi Tekieh

Abstract

This article examines the impact of oil prices on the real exchange rate in Iran during the 1961–2014 period using the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration as the estimation method. We find that higher oil prices lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. The results reveal that oil prices have both short-run and long-run effects on the real exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Esfandiar Jahangard & Arian Daneshmand & Mehdi Tekieh, 2017. "Oil prices and the real exchange rate in Iran: an ARDL bounds testing approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(15), pages 1051-1056, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:15:p:1051-1056
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1251545
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    2. Jungho Baek & Yoon Jung Choi, 2021. "Do fluctuations in crude oil prices have symmetric or asymmetric effects on the real exchange rate? Empirical evidence from Indonesia," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 312-325, January.
    3. Hicham Ayad & Ousama Ben-Salha & Miloud Ouafi, 2023. "Do oil prices predict the exchange rate in Algeria? Time, frequency, and time‐varying Granger causality analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3545-3566, October.
    4. Muhammad Akmal Farouqi & Gigih Fitrianto, 2024. "Systemic Effects on Intersectoral Linkages: Framework and Analysis," Gadjah Mada Economics Working Paper Series 202403001, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada.

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