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Age effects in Okun’s law with different indicators of unemployment

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  • Gabriele Marconi
  • Miroslav Beblavý
  • Ilaria Maselli

Abstract

We reassess the results from the literature on the relationship between the youth unemployment rate and GDP growth (Okun’s law), based on the concern that the unemployment rate is not an ideal indicator for teenagers and young adults. Using the unemployment ratio instead, we find that youth unemployment (15–24 years old) is not significantly more responsive to economic growth than prime-age (25–64) unemployment. However, compared to prime-age unemployment, teenagers’ unemployment (15–19) is relatively unresponsive, whereas young adult’s (20–24) unemployment is more strongly correlated with economic growth. These results are quite different than those obtained with the unemployment rate as the dependent variable.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriele Marconi & Miroslav Beblavý & Ilaria Maselli, 2016. "Age effects in Okun’s law with different indicators of unemployment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(8), pages 580-583, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:8:p:580-583
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1090540
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    Cited by:

    1. Bod’a, Martin & Považanová, Mariana, 2021. "Output-unemployment asymmetry in Okun coefficients for OECD countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 307-323.
    2. Mustafa Şit, 2024. "The Relationship Between Unemployment and Economic Growth in Selected Large Emerging Countries: A Revisit Using Threshold Regression Analysis," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 76-85, January.
    3. Mindaugas Butkus & Janina Seputiene, 2019. "The Output Gap and Youth Unemployment: An Analysis Based on Okun’s Law," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-17, November.
    4. Ousama Ben-Salha & Zouhair Mrabet, 2019. "Is Economic Growth Really Jobless? Empirical Evidence from North Africa," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(4), pages 598-624, December.
    5. Mindaugas Butkus & Kristina Matuzeviciute & Dovile Rupliene & Janina Seputiene, 2020. "Does Unemployment Responsiveness to Output Change Depend on Age, Gender, Education, and the Phase of the Business Cycle?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-29, November.

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