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What drives a successful fiscal consolidation?

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  • Pablo Hernández de Cos
  • Enrique Moral-Benito

Abstract

Fiscal consolidations are currently in the agenda of fiscal authorities in many countries. Using Bayesian Model Averaging to overcome the problem of model uncertainty, we find that growth-enhancing policies and cuts in public wages are the most appropriate ingredients for successfully reducing debt levels and budget deficits.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Hernández de Cos & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2013. "What drives a successful fiscal consolidation?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(8), pages 748-753, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:748-753
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741672
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    2. Philip Arestis & Ayşe Kaya & Hüseyin Şen, 2018. "Does fiscal consolidation promote economic growth and employment? Evidence from the PIIGGS countries," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 15(3), pages 289-312, November.
    3. Ibrar Hussain & Jawad Hussain & Arshad Ali & Shabir Ahmad, 2021. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Impact of Fiscal Adjustment on Economic Growth: Evidence From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, June.
    4. Rasmus Wiese & Richard Jong-A-Pin & Jakob de Haan, 2015. "Are expenditure cuts the only effective way to achieve successful fiscal adjustment," DNB Working Papers 477, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    5. Čekanavičius Linas, 2018. "On the Choice of Fiscal Adjustment to Financial Crises: Expansionary vs. Contractionary Policies," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 97(2), pages 7-17, December.
    6. Eckardt, Sebastian & Mills, Zachary, 2014. "What goes up must come down -- cyclicality in public wage bill spending," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6760, The World Bank.
    7. Ibrar Hussain & Umar Hayat & Md Shabbir Alam & Uzma Khan, 2024. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Twin-Deficit Hypothesis: the Case of a Developing Country," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 25-52, March.

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